Today's Pick: 🔑 KEYS

We look at a company that is selling the shovels for the IoT gold rush

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💲 Business Model

Keysight Technologies, Inc. is a technology company that provides electronic design and test solutions to help accelerate innovation in the communications, electronics, and life sciences industries. The company's core products and services include electronic design automation (EDA) software, test and measurement equipment, and services. Keysight's EDA software helps engineers design and simulate electronic systems, while its test and measurement equipment helps them validate and optimize their designs. Keysight also provides services such as consulting, training, and support to help customers maximize the value of their products and solutions.

🚀 Growth Potential

  • Expansion of 5G and IoT product portfolio

  • Forecasting year-over-year earnings growth of 7.5% for the current fiscal year

  • Launch of new software-as-a-service (SaaS) offerings

  • Expansion of its software portfolio

  • Introduction of new test and measurement solutions

  • Development of new digital transformation solutions

  • Expansion of its cloud-based services

⚖️ Intrinsic Value

Keysight (KEYS) is currently trading at $172.58

Best Case:

  • 🟢 Intrinsic Value: $215.10 Undervalued by 20%

  • 🟢 DCF Value: $244.89 Undervalued by 30%

  • 🟢 Relative Value: $185.31 Undervalued by 7%

  • 🟢 Analyst Targets: KEYS has upside potential of 10% compared to the average analyst price target.

Worst Case:

  • 🟢 Intrinsic Value: $104.76 Undervalued by 39%

  • 🔴 DCF Value: $67.08 Overvalued by 61%

  • 🟢 Relative Value: $142.45 Undervalued by 17%

👉 DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) estimates the value of an investment based on projections of how much money that investment will generate in the future.

👉 Relative valuation involves the use of similar, comparable assets in valuing another asset.

☎️ Earnings Call Q1 2023 (May 16, 2023):

  • Revenue was at the high-end of the company's guidance and earnings per share exceeded the guidance range, resulting in record gross margin and record free cash flow.

  • Orders in the second quarter were stable and consistent with expectations, with particular strength in automotive and global aerospace defense.

  • The company is continuing to prudently invest for the future to build on its leadership positions and to deliver on the long-term strategy that was laid out at the Investor Day in March.

📰 Recent News

Sentiment: 🟡 Neutral

Keysight's (KEYS) PathWave Design 2024 offers a range of engineering productivity enhancements that empower design organizations to achieve seamless digital transformation.

Sentiment: 🟢 Positive

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Sentiment: 🟢 Positive

The acquisition is likely to enhance Keysight's (KEYS) software prototyping capabilities and expedite innovation across multiple end markets.

Sentiment: 🟡 Neutral

Keysight Technologies, Inc. announces support for the voluntary national standard for consumer internet of things (IoT) cybersecurity labeling program unveiled by the Biden-Harris Administration at the White House this morning. Known as the U.S. Cyber Trust Mark, the IoT labeling program outlines a set of cybersecurity standards devised by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) and the Federal Communications Commission (FCC).

Have the courage of your knowledge and experience. If you have formed a conclusion from the facts and if you know your judgment is sound, act on it—even though others may hesitate or differ.

Benjamin Graham, The Intelligent Investor